Recession Probabilities for the United States of America

Our machine learning based calculation of Monthly Recession Probabilities for the United States are obtained from a Support Vector Machine. Our probability index is an alternative using statistical learning methods. 

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Interest over Bitcoin

Numbers represent search interest relative to the highest point on the chart for the given region and time. A value of 100 is the peak popularity for the term. A value of 50 means that the term is half as popular. Likewise, a score of 0 means the term was less than 1% as popular as the peak.

Interest by Region

See the location in which bitcoin was most popular during the specified time frame. Values are calculated on a scale from 0 to 100, where 100 is the location with the most popular as a fraction of total searches in that location, a value of 50 indicates a location which is half as popular, and a value of 0 indicates a location where the term was less than 1% as popular as the peak.

Note: A higher value means a higher proportion of all queries, not a higher absolute query count. So a tiny country where 80% of the queries are for “bitcoin” will get twice the score of a giant country where only 40% of the queries are for “bitcoin”.